Manish Patel oa SIPM o hlahisitse boemo bo nyahamisang mabapi le pherekano e teng ka har'a mebaraka ea lefatše ka bophara ea likhoele, mapolanka le mabokose a mabokose nakong ea ICCMA Congress ka la 4 Mphalane.O bontšitse kamoo ts'ebetso ea China ea ho hloekisa tikoloho ea eona e tla ama India joang

Manish Patel oa SIPM nakong ea nehelano ea hae ho ICCMA (Indian Corrugated Case Manufacturers Association) Congress o itse e ne e le nako ea Black Swan bakeng sa indasteri ea li-containerboard ea India.Lebaka: e bile le phello e kholo 'me boemo ba boemo bo fetohile ka hare-ntle le ka holimo.The raison d aitre: Ts'ebetso e mabifi ea China ea ho hloekisa liketso le litefiso tsa boiphetetso.

Baetapele ba kaholimo ba mabokose a likhoerekhoere ho kenyelletsa le Kirit Modi, mopresidente oa ICCMA o boletse hore mebaraka ea hajoale ea mebaraka e ikhethile.Lekhetlong lena li bakoa ke ho se leka-lekane ha maiketsetso phepelong le tlhokahalong e bakiloeng ke qeto ea mmuso oa China ea ho theha lintlha tsa lisebelisoa tse tsoang kantle ho naha.Litlhaloso tsena tse ncha, tse nang le moeli oa tšilafalo ea 0.5%, e bile phephetso bakeng sa li-recyclers tsa pampiri tse tsoakiloeng tsa Amerika, Canada le Europe le lipolasetiki tse tsoakiloeng.Empa ka mokhoa o tšoenyang, e entse hore indasteri ea India e be lerootho le tlokotsi.

Joale, ho ile ha etsahala’ng?

Ka la 31 Tšitoe 2017, China e ile ea emisa litšila tse ngata tsa polasetiki - joalo ka libotlolo tsa soda tse sebelisoang hanngoe feela, liphutheloana tsa lijo, le mekotla ea polasetiki - e neng e romelloa kantle ho mabopo a eona ho lahloa.
Pele ho kahlolo, China e ne e le morekisi o moholo ka ho fetisisa lefatšeng oa lihlahisoa tsa thepa.Ka letsatsi la pele la 2018, e ile ea emisa ho amohela polasetiki e nchafalitsoeng le lipampiri tse sarolohang tse tsoang kantle ho naha, 'me ea thibela ka matla ho rekoa ha khateboto.Palo ea thepa e khutlisitsoeng eo Amerika, e leng morekisi e moholo ka ho fetisisa lefatšeng oa sekhechana, e rometsoeng China e ne e le lithane tse 3 tsa metric (MT) ka tlase ho halofo ea pele ea 2018 ho feta selemo pejana, e theohile ka 38%.

Ha e le hantle, sena se baloa ho tsoa kantle ho naha ea USD 24bn ea boleng ba lithōle.Ho feta moo, pampiri e tsoakiloeng le li-polymers li se li felloa ke matla ke ho sebelisa limela hape ho pholletsa le lefats'e la Bophirimela.Ka 2030, thibelo e kanna ea siea limilione tse 111 tsa lithōle tsa polasetiki ho se na moo li ka eang teng.
Ha se phetho.Hobane, morero o teteaneng.

Patel o bontšitse hore tlhahiso ea China bakeng sa pampiri le pampiri ea pampiri e holile ho 120 milione MT ka 2015 ho tloha ho lithane tse limilione tse 10 ka 1990. Tlhahiso ea India ke lithane tse limilione tse 13.5.Patel o itse, ho bile le khaello ea 30% ho RCP (pampiri e nchafalitsoeng le e litšila) bakeng sa boardboard ka lebaka la lithibelo.Sena se hlahisitse lintho tse peli.E 'ngoe, litheko tsa lehae tsa OCC (khateboto ea khale ea masenke) le khaello ea MT ea limilione tse 12 bakeng sa boto ea Chaena.

Ha ba ntse ba buisana le baemeli ba tsoang Chaena kopanong le pontšong e haufi, ba buile le WhatPackaging?ka litaelo tse thata tsa ho se tsejoe.Moemeli ea tsoang Shanghai, o itse, "Mmuso oa China o thata haholo mabapi le leano la ona la 0.5% mme o fokotsa ts'oaetso."Joale ho etsahala'ng ka lik'hamphani tse 5,000 tse nchafatsang tse nang le batho ba limilione tse 10 ba sebetsang indastering ea Chaena, maikutlo a akaretsang e bile, "Ha ho maikutlo kaha indasteri e ferekanya ebile e rarahane ebile e bohlasoa Chaena.Ha ho na tlhahisoleseling le khaello ea sebopeho se nepahetseng - 'me bophara bo felletseng le litlamorao tsa leano le lecha la China le nang le likarolo tse ngata tsa ho reka thepa li ntse li sa utloisisoe ka botlalo."

Ntho e le 'ngoe e hlakile ka kristale, tumello ea ho kenya thepa Chaena e lebelletsoe ho tiisa.Moetsi e mong oa Chaena o itse, "Mabokose a entsoeng ka masenke a etsa karolo e fetang halofo ea pampiri e sebelisoang hape China e tsoang kantle ho naha ka lebaka la likhoele tsa tsona tse telele, tse matla.Ke limaraka tse hloekileng ho feta pampiri e tsoakiloeng, haholo-holo mabokose a masenke a tsoang liak’haonteng tsa khoebo.”Ho na le lipelaelo mabapi le mekhoa ea tlhahlobo e bakang mathata naheng ea China.Ka hona, li-recyclers tsa pampiri li leqe ho romela li-bale tsa OCC ho fihlela li tseba hore tlhahlobo e tla ba e tsitsitseng le e ka lebelloang esale pele.

Mebaraka ea India e tla tobana le merusu likhoeling tse 12 tse tlang.Joalokaha Patel a bontšitse, tšobotsi e ikhethang ea potoloho ea RCP ea China ke hore e susumetsoa haholo ke thepa ea eona ea kantle ho naha.O itse, 20% ea GDP ea Chaena e matlafatsoa ke ho romelloa kantle ho naha mme "kaha thomello ea thepa ea China e le mohato o tšehelitsoeng ka liphutheloana ho na le tlhokahalo e matla ea boto ea thepa.

Patel o itse, "mmaraka oa Chaena oa limaraka tse tlase tsa li-containerboard (o tsejoang hape e le kraft paper India) o khahla haholo mabapi le litheko tsa baetsi ba pampiri ba India, Middle East le South East Asia.Ho romelloa kantle ho naha ho ea Chaena le libakeng tse ling tsa Middle East, Asia Boroa le Afrika ka Maindia le limilo tse ling tsa tikoloho ha li felise matla a mangata mebarakeng ea lehae empa li baka khaello.Sena se nyolla litšenyehelo bakeng sa bahlahisi bohle ba mabokose a tikoloho ho kenyeletsoa le ba India.

O hlalositse kamoo lifeme tsa pampiri tsa Asia Boroa-bochabela, India le Middle East li lekang ho tlatsa lekhalo lena la khaello.O itse, "Khaello ea Chaena ea limilione tse 12-13 MT / selemo) e feta hole bokhoni ba machaba.Joale, bahlahisi ba bangata ba Machaena ba tla arabela joang mohloling oa fiber bakeng sa limilone tsa bona Chaena?Na basebetsi ba US ba tla khona ho hloekisa litšila tsa bona tsa liphutheloana?Na lifeme tsa pampiri tsa India li tla lebisa tlhokomelo ea tsona (le meketjana ea phaello) ho ea Chaena ho fapana le 'maraka oa lehae?

Q&A kamora tlhahiso ea Patel e hlakisitse, hore likhakanyo ha li na thuso.Empa sena se shebahala e le koluoa ​​​​e mpe ka ho fetisisa lilemong tse leshome tse fetileng.
Ka tlhoko e lebelletsoeng ho matlafatsoa ho phethahatsa litlhoko tsa matsatsi a mabenkele a marang-rang a e-commerce blockbuster le nako ea matsatsi a phomolo ea Diwali, likhoeli tse 'maloa tse tlang li shebahala li le thata.Na India e ithutile ho hong ketsahalong ee ea morao-rao, kapa joalo ka kamehla, re tla nyahama, 'me re khutse ho fihlela e latelang e etsahala?Kapa na re tla leka ho fumana tharollo?